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Josef Hargrave

Global foresight manager

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Drivers of Change

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Drivers of Change

Investigate the key global issues and trends driving change across the world

Investigate the key global issues and trends driving change across the world

Foresight

Talk to Josef Hargrave about foresight

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Foresight

Talk to Josef Hargrave 

Get in touch

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Josef Hargrave
https://foresight.arup.com/our-team/josef-hargrave/
Global Foresight Manager
foresight@arup.com
+44 (0) 20 7636 1531

Our Drivers of Change programme investigates the key global issues and trends driving change in the built environment. From climate change to urbanisation to poverty, each set examines the top 25 drivers of change impacting our societies and markets.

Explore global issues and trends

Explore global issues and trends

Water 2.0

From rising consumption to urban water deficit, the drivers illustrate the major challenges and opportunities we face.

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Energy 2.0

The environmental impact of fossil fuels is widely challenged, so what will our renewable energy future look like?

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Demographics 2.0

As the global population rises rapidly, what will our world look like in 2050?

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Climate Change 2.0

From sea level rise to drought, how will our world change as temperatures rise?

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Urbanisation 2.0

A holistic picture of urban opportunities and challenges, including mobility, connectivity and innovation.

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Food

The production, distribution and consumption of food impacts our everyday lives – but to what extent?

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Oceans

Almost 40% of the global population lives near the coast. From industry to food production, our demand and impact on the ocean is increasing.

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Poverty

Infrastructure issues contribute to poverty in both developing and developed countries.

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Waste 2.0

Modern consumption habits are creating a waste epidemic. But what are the visible and invisible impacts of a global recycling system?

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Convergence

AI, biomimicry, genetech. Science, technology and business are increasingly interconnected.

Drivers of Change

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What will our world be like in 2050? Drivers of Change is a research-based publication developed by Arup to help its business and clients identify and explore leading factors which will affect our world in the future.

The programme is a planning tool that helps the user to ask the right questions in order to plan effectively for the future. The ten topics (climate change, convergence, demographics, energy, food, oceans, poverty, urbanisation, waste, and water) can be explored through any, or all, of the five STEEP lenses (social, technological, economic, environmental, and political).

Drivers of Change app

This unique platform presents the most impactful trends, innovations and system interactions determining our collective future. The app offers an informed starting point for conversations within communities and companies alike.

Download the app

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“

The Drivers of Change programme is a unique tool that has helped facilitate design and innovation projects, business strategy and education programmes across the world. ”

Dr Chris Luebkeman
Arup Fellow and Global Director Foresight, Research and Innovation

Facilitating conversations about change

Our Drivers of Change programme has been used in stakeholder engagement programmes and workshops around the world. The Drivers of Change cards are used to explore and prioritise global trends that will have an impact on a specific project, business or market context. The cards have also helped inform research and learning programmes with schools and universities.

To find out about our Drivers of Change workshops or to order a set of Drivers of Change cards, please contact us at driversofchange@arup.com.

Explore the Drivers of Change programme at www.driversofchange.com.

The card deck box features five sets: Energy, Water, Climate Change, Demographics and Urbanisation
Each card set contains 25 cards, each featuring a key driver of change.
The Climate Change and Ocean Health card set examines the interconnected issues of earth's rising temperature and the declining health of our oceans.
The Drivers of Change cards have been used to engage research programmes around the world.
Drivers of Change exhibition at Shenzhen Design Week 2019
Climate change and ocean health

Our Climate Change and Ocean Health Drivers of Change cards examine the key issues, consequences and solutions relating to anthropogenic climate change and the devastating impact of rising temperatures on the health of our oceans.

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“

The Drivers of Change cards look at global issues from multiple perspectives and look at key issues from poverty to waste.”

Tim Jarvis
Explorer and environmental scientist

Our tools

Arup Foresight has developed a range of world-class tools and platforms to support creative thinking, foresight, strategy and innovation programmes.

Arup Inspire

Arup Inspire is the leading platform for built environment insights, featuring emerging ideas and case studies from around the world.

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7see

Using an evidence-based approach, the 7see model makes projections about the nature of economic activity in the near future.

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Our tools

Arup Foresight has developed a range of world-class tools and platforms to support creative thinking, foresight, strategy and innovation programmes.

Find out more

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